2021年2月18日木曜日

Episode 72 – Nationalizing Payroll and The Right to a Job With Pavlina Tcherneva – Real Progressives



Episode 72 – Nationalizing Payroll and The Right to a Job With Pavlina Tcherneva – Real Progressives
https://realprogressives.org/podcast_episode/episode-72-nationalizing-payroll-and-the-right-to-a-job-with-pavlina-tcherneva/#fwdmspPlayer0?catid=0
2020/06/13



参考

Isabelle Ferreras




2020/05/20 — Bard Professor Pavlina Tcherneva. ... Dominique Méda, Université Paris Dauphine; Isabelle Ferreras, University of Louvain; Lisa ...

The latest Tweets from Isabelle Ferreras (@ Ferreras_Isa). Professor | Senior ... Ferreras Retweeted. Pavlina R Tcherneva‏ @ptcherneva Feb 11.

2020/06/21 — The Job Guarantee is the way to economic justice and saving the environment. Great 


[Music] the pain is not shared equally and the pain is born in these structural ways where you're attempting to build an economy on the backs of working families that earn despicably low wages [Music] the subsidy that the state of New Jersey was providing through Amazon to set up warehouses there was something on the order of three to five billion dollars which would have been enough to hire every unemployed person in New Jersey at a living wage [Music] but I have said is that this campaign it's not just about electing a president it is about making a political revolution money and borrowing is the program so critical it's worth borrowing money from China to pay for it if not I'll get written in stock [Music] now let's see if we could the apocalypse all together here's another episode of macro and cheese with your host steve krumbine alright and this is Steve with macro and cheese today's guest is none other than dr. Pavlina Chernova Pavlina is an associate professor of economics at Bard College and a research scholar at the levy Institute she is also the author of an upcoming book called the case for a job guarantee I'm very excited to have her on especially under such trying times obviously with the events of Minneapolis and the police brutality that we've seen and the actions across the nation it's clear that unrest is bubbling right below the surface so much of that could have been prevented within the context of the kovat 19 virus our federal government has not stepped up to do its job and has left people in tremendously compromised susceptible ways of suffering and my hope is that Pavlina and I can talk today and come up with some solutions to how we could have address us or how we can address it in the future.
so with that welcome thank you so much for joining me today hi Steve thank you for having me so let me ask you a question you've got this upcoming book the case for a job guarantee I'm very excited about it I have it pre-ordered tell me what's this book all about well the book really is hopefully a call to rethink our most basic maybe uncritical assumption that unemployment isn't avoidable and that there's very little that we can do about it I am hoping that it's a primer on the job guarantee proposal it attempts to document all the benefits of this proposal but what I'm really hoping with the book is to raise this question of why have we accepted this is such a normal situation and we do it on multiple levels I think just even if you ask the layperson if you were to ask them about you know unemployment they'll say yeah well you know it's normal it's part of life not much you could do about it the market is the market and you know competition and you're gonna get a bunch of narratives about unemployment some folks will even go as far as to say well you know it's personal responsibility you've heard those conversations oh yeah I think I would like very much to shake that conversation even at the very just basic level as we just talk to our fellow citizens but very importantly I also wanted to expose a major failure in my own profession in economics and that is that it in fact has validated the existence of an employment that the way we structure our thinking about the economy about markets about their behavior within economics is around this concept of the natural rate of unemployment.
and I think this is just a profound failure just at the theoretical level at the policy level obviously at the moral level and we even design policies around the concept of a natural rate of unemployment and that wasn't always the case this is quite a bit of a neoliberal phenomena the natural rate of unemployment is not a new concept it dates back since the late 1800s if you will you know since the birth of capitalism but we've gone through these ups and downs at least in theory and we certainly had a time in the immediate post-war era when people didn't talk about natural rate of unemployment and very few people you know Hayek Friedman would pay lip service to some of these ideas but no self-respecting economist would say it's normal to have you know millions of people out of work but then in the 50s and the 60s slowly you know the profession started coming up with this concept especially the high road and on accelerating inflation rate of unemployment and basically formalizing this notion that as economists and as policy people we have to choose between two evils either we have people without jobs are we gonna have inflation and that's a false choice and I think in part is because we haven't thought about you know policy proposals to replace this broken system of maintaining really keeping permanently people out of work even in the best of time so with this book I am also trying to interrogate that question and say let's envision a world and let's envision a policy that actually attempts to guarantee jobs for all that's absolutely fantastic and I feel very lucky to be on the waiting list here for the release of this book when are we expecting it to come out the official release date is June 26 this year 2020 okay very good timely very timely.
 in fact I want to kind of set the stage I wanted to give you an opportunity to talk about the book but I really want to jump into the meat of why I have you on here today since Donald Trump started running the very first cycle before he had ever even taken office the resistance had begun and the resistance was really ramping up dare I say a propaganda campaign not to say the Donald Trump is in any way shape or form good but they had already ramped up this what I would call Trump derangement syndrome almost to the point where people weren't even willing to talk about policy the only thing they wanted to hear is not Trump and so we've got this moment here where millions upon millions upon millions of people are without work and the same people that were busy resisting Trump never listened to any of the alternatives such as a federal job guarantee they're not hearing things such as nationalizing payroll they're not hearing any of the fiscal plans that mm tears have been talking about long before we ever had a pandemic but here we are now in one of the most unbelievably frightening moments in our nation's history we've got police violence we've got riots we've got folks that are finally standing up and saying no more but we've got millions of people without work and millions and millions of those jobs are never coming back talk to me a little bit about the current environment that you're in as you're trying to advance these ideas these very necessary ideas but in a world where the topic isn't this even though it's happening right now the topic is always centered around Donald Trump whether it be taking everyone's focus off of green New Deal and talking about impeachment it's never ever ever on these policy space so to be able to build that kind of movement you got to have almost single focus driven people pushing and pushing and pushing building that momentum and it just hasn't happened and here we are what has been your experience with that well the way I think about this is as a basically Titanic crashing into you know the iceberg you see it you really can't reverse course you can't you know slow it down and so the system is essentially it sort of breaking at the seams what is happening now is not a product of one police brutality whether it is kovat you know all of the other problems that we see in the world today I really just the tip of the iceberg you know we have had for so long policies that have stretched families communities that have used racism and sexism to create social polarization its manifests in economic polarization I mean one thing is connected to another and people are understandably angry there are many who are out of work that adds another layer of destitution that we have not experienced in a very long time certainly not since the Great Depression and whether we go through such a dramatic period of economic devastation depends very much on what we do now and so I think what you say is correct people are angry and they direct their anger at leadership we certainly have good reason to be angry at a president who incites violence but you're correct to say that we've got to be able to offer something new something that is meaningful that provides structural change and that's where the conversation needs to go in terms of rethinking this post covet world right you hear these conversations in the articles you know what would the world look like after kovat and so I think it's really important to raise this question and I'm glad to see it from different corners but we also have to have something specific to offer that is different from the patchwork of weak policies we had in the post-war era that were systematically weakened further in the post Reagan era and that created the precarity so just to give you some examples I know you know these numbers and you've gone over there many times on your show but you know half of Americans about 44% of Americans earn less than $18,000 you know that is the median income 44% so we are really looking at folks who can barely make ends meet you cannot build an economy on such precarious economic conditions and then when you look at who has lost jobs you know we say lastin first-out this is kind of insane a labor economist use to say that there are certain folks who are always the last ones to catch the train up the expansion and get some employment opportunities but as soon as there's a hiccup as soon as there is a downturn that the first ones to lose their jobs.
they tend to be folks with low-wage folks and now what is happening in this pandemic we're noticing 40% of job losses are concentrated incomes below 40,000 dollars right 40% and then you know 20% of job losses are between 40,000 and a hundred thousand and then there is you know another 13 or 12 or 13 percent above hundred thousand so know the pain is not shared equally and the pain is born in these structural ways where we are attempting to build an economy on the backs of working families that earn despicably low wages and then when we have an extraordinary crisis like this of course they're the first ones to lose their jobs at the same time we painfully you know realize how dependent we are on those folks to do some very basic work we call them now essential workers but you know we under pay them they work in terrible conditions they are the ones that die in the meat packing industries in order to feed the rest of us that is such a fundamentally broken system it cannot continue and what we need to I think arrive at as a moment of reckoning I certainly hope of the sort that we had during the New Deal when you know FDR and his team put in place what were at the time radical policy proposals do you imagine you know elderly folks without Social Security 0 imagine that world of very high elderly poverty rate so what we need to do is do something like that going forward we know that FDR didn't really complete the mission we know he had economic Bill of Rights and the first of those was the right to a job to everyone at all times not just in a Great Depression not in a kovat in a good time if somebody needs work that's what we need to provide decent not poverty paying work so we do have a lot of work to do and I'm hoping that this is the sort of moment of reckoning to put in place these policies but what I've been doing more recently and my writing is not just talk about the job guarantee but again challenge us to think about unemployment as something that's not really natural but it's a policy choice and you know when we talk about initializing payroll various other policies there are just different ways to respond to covet without sacrificing people's employment I really appreciate that you know I want to throw a curveball into this a little bit.
 I had an opportunity to interview Eric Vaughn and Patrick LaBelle and Bill Black on the thirty thirty anniversary of the Keating five and the devastation and destruction brought on by the con so to speak and the fraud it has been going on since redlining on through the 70s and 80s into the savings and loan crisis into the countrywide and the ending of glass-steagall and here we are even now in this moment suffering from the mortgage-backed security breakdown and the student debt crisis all of this stuff is right there is a tsunami waiting to crash down on top of all those conditions you had just laid forward and this system is so broken and so few are benefiting from it and so many are really tragically devastated I don't know that it's responsible for us to have anything else on our minds at this point given how devastating the next wave of this comes through and so as I look at what you're proposing and I look at nationalizing payroll a concept of it really resonated with me because you think about how many people lost their homes over overinflated evaluations of their property and fraudulent loans you name it and they lost everything suicides through the roof families splitting apart like crazy this job guarantee is something to me and the just transition we talked about with the green New Deal and other things these are not just neat ideas who you know hey this is a way to transition I'm looking back and I'm saying how many people really truly died do we know the body count do we understand the causation and do we understand what this would have prevented had we done these things in the past now we're right in the middle of it and we still got someone like Mitch McConnell saying he would rather the states file bankruptcy see so they can loot the pension funds then actually step in and restructure this because somebody's making out somebody is winning here and it ain't us it's so much bigger than that and these are just but small token things to help keep society on Yoon's basically just to keep us alive this is bigger than this is it not yeah no absolutely I think that one way or another something will happen and the question is how is the system gonna change is it going to move towards more authoritarian reactionary kind of policies or are we gonna truly democratize the system so all of these things that you're pointing out all right this cancer that plagues our economy.
and which demonstrate that the economy works for a handful you know very few people and so you're talking about how the mortgage crisis devastated communities but we're gonna see in other ways in which our communities are gonna be devastated you know states are going bankrupt left and right which means that our schools are gonna suffer we're gonna see teachers being fired we already seen community colleges closing down campuses are you gonna probably see failed universities imagine you know if our education system is decimated and then the basic public services that states are supposed to serve are also a compromised so with every crisis we're outraged and it's amazing how much more pain folks are able to endure but that pain is really manifested through exactly the deaths of despair don't you're pointing out so you know if this is the plan for the economy's to kill off you know people who are unable to make it then it's not a very good plan but we know that all of this brings enormous instability political economic so we need to make significant reforms and they have to be from the ground up and as I say everything is connected to everything you know what is the famous quote of FDR you know people who are hungry and out of a job the stuff of which dictatorships are made and so for me this is the laser focus of my work that work good work decent work well-paid where it must be secured for all at all times irrespective who you are what your no circumstances are if you want a job that has to be guaranteed because a person who has income will not just be able to pay their bills and send their kids to school and be a good member in the community but it ripples through the economy you know the fact that we have this stability security that we can use this manpower to restore our cities and public needs that have been neglected so the job guarantee is that piece really that focuses on empowering folks to do good work the public purpose has to be rehabilitated so that we can make the investments whether it's the green investments whether it is you know cleaning up the devastation from pollution and providing you know good care services for elderly for our children there's just so much to do we can't even enumerator love it but how to think about policy today what is striking to me is that we have once again failed in multiple fronts you know our European counterparts have passed much more sensible measures.
they will still have to deal with the fallout of unemployment but they're not looking at the kind of rates that we're looking at and so just to give you an example Denmark the UK Germany they have various ways in which they guarantee payroll governments passed budgets which are strictly allocated to keeping people in their jobs and subsidizing private companies so that they don't lay off workers so as an example you know Denmark is effectively paying everybody's wage or about 80 percent of everybody's wage for three months they put in place stricter social distancing measures to tame the virus to create a bit more certainty in people and also they covered bills and wages what we did we just surrendered to the inevitability of unemployment we just said well you know it's gonna be a natural artifact the shocked people will lose jobs so here's some unemployment insurance let's make it a little more generous but we've left them jobless without any guarantee that a good job is around the corner when the pandemic is under control and so we have trapped ourselves into this catch-22 situation because you know in my work I talked about how unemployment perpetuates like a disease like an epidemic it doesn't just affect the community it affects neighboring communities when they lose their income and they lose their businesses and mom and pop shops are shut er down and then that causes the destitution desperation and families and it's not just the unemployed and you know the opioid epidemic is connected to this and children do more poorly it's a malaise and distress that we don't have to endure we can simply say hey we're going to protect your jobs we understand that it will be a still a shock to the system because folks will be more cautious returning to movies to restaurants there will be some unemployment it doesn't have to be double digits and then we will still be able to do direct employment guarantee employment but deal with more reasonable numbers it brings me to a thought here I saw Stephanie I saw yourself literally every mm tear worth their salt was talking about write checks write really big checks let's get this economy going let's get money in people's hands you had Rohan and Rasheeda to leave with the boost yet others talking about emergency pandemic payments to families and so forth and quite frankly they never really transpired at least not yet anyway and you've got the Paycheck Protection Act that is being pushed I believe by from illage aya Paul and others and you've seen that impact like the airline industry as well where they have been able to pass one bill that maybe actually helped labor but that said the idea of a basic income in the midst of this was more like crisis payments let's get through this Atal but people were mistakingly calling it a ubi even Alexandria Casa Cortez went out telling people it was a ubi so the ubi side the world kind of got an idea that this was the right answer but the MMT perspective is a little bit different and I was wondering given the fact that so often the job guarantee and ubi rightly or wrongly or often at odds with each other and tied against each other can you explain the difference between the crisis payments mmm tears we're talking about through this Kevin 19 process and simultaneously nationalizing payroll and the job guarantee I know it's a lot but those three things seem to be intertwined at various levels yeah I mean I think the very first thing that we needed to do is obviously protect jobs because this was in a demand-side shock people didn't suddenly stop going to the restaurants because they lost jobs it's that they were asked not to go right so we actually asked people to stop working like that was really the issue we haven't to stop producing to stop going to their establishments except for the essential part of production so this was you know largely a supply shock and what we needed to do is just weather the storm by keeping people in jobs.
but we know that in the United States our labor market is so weak by comparison to our European counterparts and we actually lack basic institutions and safety nets a lot of people work just precarious and stable jobs you know all the hours the uber ization of jobs it's much stronger here in the United States so we do have a lot of self-employed folks and they could have also benefited from the government paying their payroll but then there are folks the gig worker the freelance worker who have occasional work so they will need some sort of income support so absolutely you know you need to make sure that there is emergency income support for those people because they have not benefited from labor contracts from stable employment from you know benefits like hazard pay or paid leave I mean they're just far too many people who didn't have those institutions to protect them so I would have done it you know I would have done the protections for firms through the Employment Guarantee I would have done the cash income support through these various measures of expanding eligibility as we attempted to do for unemployment insurance and making it more generous for those who are in through the cracks but also start planning now for the job guarantee tomorrow and even in the midst of the pandemic we needed to mobilize and mobilize to create safety equipment to create masks to make sure that our food production system is done under safer conditions which may mean more workers right it may mean more space may mean a little bit more precautions like sanitation workers that may need to be hired to clean up establishments that wouldn't normally have an army of sanitation workers so you see we need work done even in the midst of a crisis in order to protect people so no doubt unemployment will be one of the things that will happen because of the reduction in overall business activity but if we approach this issue with the idea of protecting jobs protecting people in precarious jobs and creating jobs tomorrow we would be so much better prepared in going forward ubi they have gotten a little bit of a boost through this crisis mode but I don't think this moment is really a illustration why we meet to move to a ubi world like what is that post work world gonna look like if 40% of the labor market doesn't have employment 30% doesn't have jobs like that's not a ubi world I think anyone of us likes and as I keep saying in my work work is more than just the lack of income work is about validation being part of a community being recognized about doing something you enjoy that you know people appreciate the fruits of your labor we are not just gonna get income and then somehow self-organized a self-determined when we live in places where slumlords you know charge high rents or when we don't have access to loans and local banks there are so many other various ways in which folks are marginalised that income cannot really empower them in ways that I think the ubi is suggesting so you know what we need obviously is some sort of support for people who can work want to work and so for people who cannot work for whatever reason so you know as you know it for me the ubi the way I see you know generous Social Security early retirement generous Pell grants pre education like that to me is very sensible ubi kind of support and it's more of basic services I suppose and provisioning of essential public goods that's fantastic I like the way you said that I sit back and I think to myself you know so many people are living in fear right now as they speak of the job loss and I talked to people on a daily basis who are sick ready to go to the doctor for fear of losing everything because of a bill that comes through terrified of bankruptcy terrified of student loans you know even though they're in forbearance this is not a gift as we've learned this is interest piling up in places.
there are all kinds of shenanigans going on it do not benefit the people and I look at this and I say to myself the Bernie Sanders movement was such a powerful force outside of Bernie just the multi-racial multi-gender intersectionality that provided us a full-blown look-see at what a new tomorrow might be and it kept reminding me of one of the things that I love the most about the job guarantee and that is that with the job guarantee people oftentimes underestimate the power of revitalizing democracy because if you're administering this at the local level that means that regular people are gonna want to be involved in the production of what jobs are going to be funded and how its administered so now all of a sudden all those people that wanted to reform the Democratic Party suddenly have a vehicle at the local grassroots level to really enter into the political game and take over their local party chapters and so forth get into elected offices and really fundamentally change the way politics works I see the job guarantee as a Trojan horse to revitalize democracy what are your thoughts on that I mean I would hope that it's a welcomed structural change but I see what you're saying essentially that the way policy structured is such that regular folks don't have a voice and they don't really have the means to self-determine so in a way it's absolutely correct if you create first they guarantee the promise that if somebody needs work that will be provided that in itself is quite empowering but also if that is as I have and others have proposed in work that rehabilitate our neglected communities and provides care for people who are really struggling that internet itself is also an enormous transformative change now to be able to participate meaningfully in the local work people try to do this on volunteer basis but you know that that is sort of under duress there are many people who are just juggling many jobs and they can't even enjoy their community right so I think that we can make our communities better in many other ways you know we can enhance the arts we can add other things that our quality of life enhancements and so the job community has these multiple ways in which we improve people's lives from participation to public goods provisioning to rehabilitating communities to creating some basic economic security and from there I think it does have the possibility to tip the scale of what we value because you know in the current paradigm unless it is some sort of work that generates commercial return it's undervalued and yet most of the work that is important to us like education like our health care is in fact work that is not produced for commercial return or at least it shouldn't be no matter how much we try to make it produce a commercial return so the true essentials of life I'm not profit generating they are because we believe in providing the good life for individuals and for their communities so I think it does have this you know potential to democratize our thinking about what work we value who we value how they should be paid that you know no one no matter where they come from should work and earn poverty wages and establish a basic standard decent standard that also values public service work so yeah I think it has significant mobilizing potential [Music] [Music] you are listening to macro and cheese a podcast brought to you by real progressives a nonprofit organization dedicated to teaching the masses about mmt or modern monetary theory please help our efforts.
and become a monthly donor at PayPal or patreon like and follow our pages on Facebook and YouTube and follow us on periscope Twitter and Instagram [Music] the boy down boy [Music] waste of our time let me ask you another question obviously the neoliberal Silicon Valley gig economy that has kind of erupted seems to be kind of on life-support as well in different ways but that said a lot of the progressive movement has capitulated to this concept like there is no other alternative which seems to be the go-to move for a lot of our folks is that as soon as something comes up we feel like there's no alternative that's it in stone we can't move it we can't change it we're done and then we do the give up strategy and what I'm wondering is how does the job guarantee impact the gig economy how does it impact the military as employer of last resort and how does it fundamentally change the way we see the public purpose yes I mean I agree that there is this resignation when we talk about technology there's a lot of folks feel the sense of resignation right the robots are marching in and I am of different persuasion I don't think that's the threat that folks are experiencing I think the threat that they truly experiencing it's management is outsourcing yes of course there is labor replacing technology and technology is being used right to create more difficult working conditions but I don't think technology is the enemy I would love to see some jobs that are permanently you know automated meatpacking is extremely dangerous life threatening work it should not be done by people is not in these circumstances in these conditions embrace technology so I find it's a little bit disappointing that we are somehow able to envision technological solutions to problems but the one problem like replacement of job we are not able to envision a solution for that and the solution seems to be quite straightforward it's care work right we care for each other we are social animals you know human beings need contact and you know I've said this before and many of us have said this are there any limits to which we can take care of each other we can educate each other we can improve our environment we can produce things that we all enjoy and love and do it by involving anyone who needs work so these things for me this is a false dichotomy they're not pitted against each other I think that the gig workers if uber is the way of things a standard has to be preserved just because there is a new way of taxing people from their airports doesn't mean that those folks should not be earning decent basic wages so I think whichever way work is gonna be transformed and it surely will be with contribution for technology there are basic principles we need to preserve but if you're gonna be working you should have some very basic labor and wage protections I want to talk to you about the race to the bottom we oftentimes even not in the crisis that we're in I look back during Governor Rick Perry's days as the governor of Texas and I can look over there at Brownback in Kansas and I see these governors who in fairness to them they are stuck in a dog-eat-dog world where states are competing against each other or businesses because that's the way it structurally set up for it and Rick Perry would brag about how he was able to steal companies from wherever they were and lure them down there the Texas well the problem is is that when he lures them with a sweetheart giveaway on taxes and he lures them by cutting social spending because states have to have a balanced budget or they have to have some sort of revenue to pay their expenses as a currency user in this scenario they leave behind an entire area that no longer has work those people are trapped the revenue has dried up the race to the bottom becomes real because now their state government starts going on life-support and all of a sudden we see more and more and more islands of despair and destitution similar to what we see in Detroit and Flint Michigan and other places where there was once great industry and it is now a ghost town it's left in shambles can you relate the race to the bottom and the job guarantee and how that might prevent such arduous situations from coming up this is clearly a part of the American economy this whole race to the bottom yes that's right I mean just like the threat of unemployment creates a race to the bottom right the looming threat of unemployment is the most effective tool to reduce wages right and to eliminate hard-fought benefits from before so if you don't eradicate once and for all the threat of unemployment then it's very easy to dismount all these other various protections that were put in place you make the fight to improve minimum wages so much harder and you know that kind of displacement effect with the rise of the freelance worker as opposed to you know the stable employ the outsourcing that is a race to the bottom a function of unemployment but you are correct to say about states that's really a really important point states are essentially engaged in an arms race that's it who is going to reduce their taxes lower and further for companies to come in and set up shop establish headquarters but we know what it is they do this arbitrage you know as soon as the benefits expire companies then they jump ship they go to the next state and so this is an unwinnable war and what's interesting is the Kauffman Foundation I think Kansas City has good research on this arms race essentially that says it doesn't create net new jobs it's extremely costly for states but the job impact is negligible and if you just account for jobs lost with this you know moving across borders the net job effect is very very small so enormous resources are spent if states were able to just use that funding to create direct employment they will be better off and at one point I had looked at the subsidy that the state of New Jersey was providing to Amazon to set up warehouses there it was something on the order of three to five billion dollars which would have been enough to hire every unemployed person in New Jersey at a living wage so we are not even thinking about this the right way we are always more than what's necessary.
I mean in the MMT community you know we are very clear that it's not the number that matters it's how you spend the money right what is the bang for the buck that you get you know they stop obsessing over numbers but we are spending a lot more without generating what we need and my other work on just fiscal policy I you know also highlight how just stabilization policies are much the same way you know we try to spend spend spend into a very leaky economy an economy that doesn't create good jobs and doesn't create them quickly and instead you know we sort of stuff the coffers of financial sector and we support profits without supporting wages and so yes there is a race to the bottom on multiple level at the macroeconomic level at the state level at the very micro firm level and we just need a paradigm shift to actually create this bubble up economy so the draw parity does that by just firming up an uncompromising wage floor and wage benefit package below which no one will fall and that it provides that job security so now that obviously has important implications on those in the labor market who have the worst bargaining power so that's already off the bat makes things so much better for folks and McDonald's that are protesting sexual harassment right you know now you can walk away from the job you know that's another tool of negotiation right but if you don't if you cannot walk away from your job you endure the inhumane conditions because you have to feed your family right so it's very important you know from the ground up at the micro level that really helps on the estate level it helps just as you said stay to have these balanced budget amendments and they cut in the midst of a recession I mean we're seeing this already you know that the education budgets in New York City were slashed and we are proposing new budgets but we're spending on kovat which really needs to be federal expenditure and so what one can gives the other one takes away and jobs will be lost not today they will be lost again tomorrow I mean they obviously lost today but those that are not lost today may be lost tomorrow and so we need to also help States if states are gonna have balanced budget amendments that actually means the opposite of devolution right instead of devolving with federal responsibilities at the state level let States have discretionary power on how to organize projects but provide funding for these social policies including the job guarantee so that is also a bottom up policy and then of course at the macro level we've talked about how the job guarantees the stabilized are far better than an unemployment stabilizer so that is also a bottom up macroeconomic bubble up mechanism this is such an important point because I at one time worked at a state agency here in Pennsylvania and we had a six hundred million dollar budget shortfall and you know the concern was the bridges already d-rated there's all these problems with schools all these different things and you look and you say to yourself where's the money coming from to get this state back up and running well the minute you start trying to raise taxes you have the other people trying to do what they can do to flee and so forth they start looking at the federal mandates unfunded mandates that the federal government is placed on States.
and I think to myself what would possibly be the purpose of placing unfunded mandates on the states why are we not in the business of providing some sort of a cushion to ensure that states are not put in these race to the bottom situations what is the advantage or what is the purpose here and I'm curious why do we have unfunded mandates that create these unemployment situations yeah I mean this is you know really a post-reagan strategy to basically reduce government and you know it's a defund and destroy that's essentially it I don't have like a better more polite explanation than simply the aim to privatize public essential government functions you know and we've seen the most egregious examples of this when whole cities instead of being managed by their City Council's you know there's a private company it come in sweeping in to run the city's affairs you know the city is a city public purpose is not a business enterprise and then of course what we see is cutting from the municipal water system from basic infrastructure people drinking poisoned water I mean no surprise but the devolution the process of devolution that began under Nixon and was accelerated under Reagan had a very clear mission to simply reduce the size of government and worse privatize many functions and so what that did is not only put responsibilities on States to do essential things but the net effect was also reduction in grants and aid and funding so it's the Hunger Games that's basically what we have been experiencing living through and it is gratuitous suffering and we have the power of the public purse to change that and we most certainly have the capacity to create employment opportunities we don't have to reinvent the wheel we have a good playbook we know how to do it we just need to do it better we need to do it for the modern day one of the things that jumps out at me is the reopen America folks they didn't see any alternatives they had no idea that there was a way of doing things without jeopardizing people's health they thought this virus to be a scam a hoax the things coming out of us just unreal but there was a very impassioned plea to reopen America I think part of that is from the capitalists that want to see their businesses open I think some of us from small businesses that are really going belly-up because of a lack of support but I think also it's from workers that don't have any idea that there are alternative ways of doing things and I'm just curious as to what your take is on how not only the job guarantee but nationalizing payroll and quite frankly just the lens of fiscal policy through mmt how we might have been able to handle the concept of reopen America differently as from my talks with Steve Dean this pandemic we're experiencing right now coupled with climate change issues that were gonna be facing soon as well this is kind of the new norm and we didn't do very good we didn't handle this very well we didn't message well we didn't have solutions we didn't have anything what do you think in terms of would your message be to reopen America folks who maybe think that's the only answer there are two essential I think lessons from the open America phenomena the first is that the threat of unemployment is an enormous fear in folks right if we again shifted this paradigm and didn't accept the inevitability of unemployment our job would have been done better so what our European counterparts did is they protected jobs so people were paid to stay home and they felt more comfortable to stay home because they didn't have the uncertainty of a job loss so that would have been the first thing we wouldn't have rushed to open America.
but also European counterparts help businesses with paying their bills because obviously businesses are losing sales and revenue and so they also have mortgages and they have overheads and bills to pay so it was a two-prong strategy so essentially at least denmark attempted to put the economy on freeze and allow people to make their financial commitments without fear of loss of employment now the loss of business i think is a real fear because if kovat is with us for some time no effective means of testing treatment vaccination etc you name it that will mean decline in economic activity and so a business mom-and-pop shop is fearful for their very existence and there are some surveys that have come out recently that more than half of businesses think this is an existential threat to them and even if they reopen whether they reopen or not that threat doesn't go away precisely because people will not rush back to the restaurant because of kovat so what do we do you know those folks lose their businesses right they will be on the street we could mobilize I mean my main message from the beginning on this was mobilized mobilized mobilized we knew about the virus in December when we were watching what was happening in China whether we have the full information or not is irrelevant we know enough about public health to know that we can crank production and we can look to see whether we are prepared so we could have been cranking safety equipment production and putting in place protocols just planning in the background planning for the event reality that's my lesson going forward we can start planning a job guarantee now and a green new deal now because the lesson for policy has to be preparedness and prevention rather than crisis response so we know that unemployment will occur again for some other reason whether it is a financial crisis whether it's a flood whether it's a hurricane we need to have a preparedness response to employ the unemployed but we know that all those looming crisis need other work too we need to prevent fires we need to prevent floods we need to prevent the destitution with these natural disasters and start rehabilitating the environment so if we arrive at this understanding that we should not wait until the crisis is upon us and start thinking about government and employment and projects just a little bit ahead I think we will be so much better off very good in talking with Nathan dankus nathan has put out some information about local complementary currencies in the space where the federal government hasn't done its job it's left its own opportunities to the wind here and the idea here of states stepping in and figuring out alternative ways to hire people and to keep the economy going what are your thoughts about the Uni and other things that might allow for a local job guarantee in the midst of these crisis times yes when all else fails you know you look for new solution so absolutely that's the history of various local currencies as communities trying to do something good and useful when the public sector the federal government refuses to step in and I think what is also important from Nathan's work is that we are already breaking so many of the rules in terms of sovereign financing right I mean we are financing left and right entities businesses corporations that were never had this direct access to the public purse you know the Federal Reserve and so why shouldn't we create you knees and then have the Fed backstop them there seems very little logic in the current environment to say well oh no this cannot be done but we certainly can now by corporate bonds but again you see our thinking is still top down not bottom up if the Fed is going to use its emergency power to bail out the corporate sector now they of course providing additional support for states and municipalities why not people right why not you know direct accounts at the Fed why not backstop local currencies that are used for employment purposes so I think that is not only just creative solutions in times of you know desperate times when the state doesn't have resources but also the current environment demonstrates that we're clearly capable to do this at various other levels I would still prefer that the federal government steps in and provides the adequate funding you know we don't need to let a thousand currencies bloom so that we can run a job guarantee it's great it's very exciting actually how communities are doing it but that is still predicated on this insane incapacity that we believe that the federal government you know has and so this is as I say you know I think mmt is a precondition for almost every progressive policy that we want and we want it at a level that guarantees rights for everyone because local currencies will not be able to guarantee employment for everyone you know maybe within a town right our goal aspiration is for this to happen in every corner of the country for every single individual so for that I much prefer the public first to be employed I love it there's a couple things that jumped out at me here number one is going back to the idea of labor unions and organizing and you mentioned about how people can leave a bad situation and really put the screws to the business that has put bad situation on them you know I think to myself when I used to be a member of the local CWA 2222 part of Verizon and when we would go on strike a lot of us guys would go jump and start delivering pizzas at the local Domino's or whatever it was that was available and a lot of people didn't have any work coming in and we were in a professional albeit blue-collar type career but we were making good money the idea of being able to jump to a job guarantee in the midst of a strike and have an income while you're negotiating to me this is a great cell to labor unions I mean this is an opportunity to really get labor unions engaged in pushing and helping advance the concept of a job guaranteed what do you think about that I think that we should be natural allies it's important to recognize that we haven't always been natural allies and that says that at least during FDR's time the projects that FDR created we're not always supported by unions with the idea that you know those projects might be taking some good union jobs and there was some tension I think it was resolved by FDR using union input in the job creation and the most popular ones was the green projects unions thought that youth programs were not really a threat to Union jobs but I think that is still a world in which unemployment looms large now what would a world that has banished the threat of unemployment look like and what would be the work of unions how would you negotiate and you know what kind of power will you have within your own industry if you actually don't have to deal with the threat of unemployment I think that the unions can use their time and much more productive ways to improve the working conditions of their union members so I think we are absolutely natural allies and I think another reason why we're natural allies is because most work in the United States is service work and it is underpaid it's not sort of the good quality union manufacturing jobs of the past and teachers are being unionized you know nurses and others but you know they're still at the lower end of the wage spectrum so this idea of raising the floor you know that job guarantee establishing a firm living wage floor makes I think union work so much easier for service unions as well so I think we've had some sympathy and excitement from some corners in unions and I think that that conversation is important especially if it comes to the point that we plan I think that you know job Garrity workers themselves should be permitted to form a union as well so is the same fight and I think that the more we realize you know the commonality I think the better you know I want to make a little bit of an anecdote here we've been trapped in our house for people a kid with autism that's bouncing off the walls a seven-year-old who is just absolutely flying off the walls as well and to parents that are still working albeit remotely and the school work that our daughter has in first grade mind you is outrageous like she had so much homework to do during this stay at home and it wasn't easy to do I mean Melanie was going crazy trying to help our daughter get this thing done and I kept thinking to myself although I didn't want to say it out loud and perturbing but I kept thinking wow what a great opportunity for tutors retired teachers whatever to work individually with students to help them get their homework done when parents aren't really necessarily at what to do some of this thing there was a real opportunity for a job guarantee type role right here in the midst of this pandemic oh my god this I have a seven-year-old in my house you and me exactly the same thoughts I cannot tell you and they have a lot of work you know and they have a lot of assignments and they have a regular one-hour meeting with their teachers almost every day but I think they should have you know three hours four hours maybe because it's fun I see for my daughter it's fun to see her friends online the teacher does some interactive activities and exercises with them and you know it has that social element that I can certainly not provide you know I she keeps asking me to jump on the trampoline with her it's not and they like that the teachers are providing some instructional content and they themselves have children in their own homes and so I could see how my daughter's teacher cannot obviously run her normal class because she's homeschool your own kids but there are so many people who don't have work there are students who are coming out of educational programs college students University students who could be plugged in exactly as tutors who could start running little sessions absolutely I think there's so much to do and this idea that just because we're shuttered at home there isn't work to do and we can't do it you know the job guarantees on how it's more difficult to run because we're all staying home really I don't think it's correct you know elderly folks need to be looked in on somebody needs to pick up the phone maybe you know run a little session whatever it is there's so many people in isolation so I think that you're absolutely right look that we can do even now no I appreciate that a final point you know obviously African Americans have been hit incredibly hard by the virus the mortality rate within the African American community is significantly higher than that of others and a lot of that stems from a lack of access to health care and a lot of that also stems from situations that I believe job guarantee could have prevented as well but one of the big things is is that we look at people that are insulated somewhat from the financial destitution of a depression you look at the people whose generational wealth is non-existent and they're dependent on a paycheck they don't have any familial wealth they don't have anything back on whatsoever and this crisis has been particularly difficult for people of color and others who are marginalized throughout history what is your thoughts there in terms of messaging to them how this might be a benefit within their community and something they can start rallying around yes all of the problems that we've discussed in the economy and in the labor market need to have a very clear understanding of how systemic racism affects those outcomes whether it is as you said folks who don't have generational wealth for hundreds and hundreds of years African Americans who go to education but their educational returns don't materialize they don't translate into income returns into well-being however measured I mean these are systemic and long trends that also need to be broken up and access to decent employment is one way by no means I'm gonna say that it's going to address all forms of systemic racism but to have the ability to work in a decent well-paid job and not to be always the person who is again last hired first fire the person who's put in the most dangerous situations the ability to walk away from an abusive employer I think that those who are systemically marginalized and discriminated african-american community people of color they will naturally benefit the most from those sorts of protections that the job guarantee will provide and with that I want to thank you so much for taking the time with us I know that you've been involved in a few other projects if you wouldn't mind just close us out and let us know what you're working on where we can find you and any other goodies that might be of interest that we can find and support you in oh thank you very much a recent project has been very exciting and interesting to highlight with several female scholars we drafted an op-ed on democratizing work it was actually an initiative by a colleague of mine Isabel Harris she drafted the op-ed and put in the job guaranteeing that op-ed as democratizing the workplace within the private sector and calling for environmental remediation what's exciting about this is that this op-ed literally overnight gathered support around the world now 6,000 people have signed on around the world it was published in 26 languages and in 40 papers.
but there is again a global understanding that our goals and objectives are connected and also for me personally is very interesting because the job guarantee is this solution outside of the market that is by the public sector for the public purpose but indeed lives of working people can be improved materially if we also try to democratize the workplace the private firm and so I think that these are also natural alliances and we were thinking about you know various forms in which we can tackle these two challenges you can't democratize the firm if you have the threat of unemployment but the threat of unemployment can truly be solved with a job guarantee if you don't have also more power within the firm so keep an eye out for that very very good I'm very excited about the book again I did purchase it can't wait to read it and I just want to thank you again or all the selfless work you do and being such a great spokesman for these causes and I just want to thank you for being a good friend so thank you for joining me today likewise Steve always appreciate you work and thank you for carrying on appreciate the forum you got it alright this is Steve krumbine javelina Geneva we're out of here thanks macro and cheese is produced by Andy Kennedy descriptive writing by Virginia cogs and promotional artwork by Mindy donum macro and cheese is publicly funded by a real progressive patreon account if you would like to donate tobacco and cheese please visit patreon.com slash real progressives [Music]

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