2021年12月25日土曜日

L. Randall Wray - Modern Money Theory for Beginners 2018

L. Randall Wray - Modern Money Theory for Beginners 2018


L. Randall Wray - Modern Money Theory for Beginners
2018





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税金の約4分の3は紙幣で支払われ、4分の1は硬貨で支払われました。紙幣を発行する際に議会が課すこの税金は償還税と呼ばれ、法律に明記されています。税は紙幣を償還することです それは紙幣に対する需要を与え、紙幣を戻し、燃やすことで、インフレを引き起こすのを防ぎます 税の目的は、インフレが起こらないように、紙幣のほとんどを外に出すことでした アダム・スミス 1776年はこのことについて書いています 植民地で奇妙なことが起こっています 彼らは紙幣を発行しますが、あまり発行しない限り、その価値を維持します だから税金を使って、紙幣が外に出てインフレにならないようにします 別の例 これは少し違うのですが、大丈夫ですか?

これはヤップ諸島で、経済学者は、原始人が商品である貨幣を使う例として、いつもこれを使います。
ヤップ島にはこのような石はなく、掘っ立て小屋のカヌーで200マイルの外洋を漕いで石を取りに行き、それを彫ってカヌーに載せ、漕いで戻ろうとするとカヌーがひっくり返って海の底に落ちてしまう石がたくさんあるのですが、ヤップ島民は石の財産を考えるとき、底に落ちたものもすべて含めて考えるそうで、それでも石を持っているとわかっているから問題ないのです。つまり、島にはないけれど、多かれ少なかれどこにあるかは知っていて、手に入れることはできないけれど、それは問題ではないということです。とにかく経済学者はこれを原始的なお金だと書いていますが、話の後半は教えてくれません。
当時のドイツの通貨が何だったか知らないが、仮にマルクだとすると、1時間に5マルクを支払って道路を建設する。ヤップ島民は狂ったように彼らを見て、紙切れのために働けと言う。もちろん、ドイツ人は狂ったように彼らを見て、お前たちは金のために働くこともないほど怠惰だ。
  それで彼らはドイツの通貨のために働こうとしなかったので、ある聡明な植民地総督は、私たちが何をすべきか分かっている、黒いペンキの缶を持って石の半分くらいに大きな斧を描くと言ったので、彼らはそれをやった。
それは我々のものだ、どうやって取り戻そうか、そうだ、道路を作ろう、と言って、順序を逆にした。しかし、植民地政府の攻撃によって初めてお金に変わったのです。

私の話を信じる必要はありませんが、ここで紹介するビアズリー・ランメルは非常に重要な人物で、ニューヨーク連銀の理事長でした。FRB議長よりも重要なのです。今でもそうですが、私たちはジャネット・イエレンのように装っています。これはFRBのトップ、つまりこちらはFRBの議長と、重要な代表者であった右のパクマンとの間のやりとりです 戦争中、FRBは国債を大量に買って金利をゼロに近づけたんです。

www.DeepL.com/Translator(無料版)で翻訳しました。


anyway the revenues received were burned the notes that were not received remained out and were used in the markets and actually were preferred over the coins people preferred to use the notes rather than the coins okay the taxes were paid in notes or specie about 3/4 of the taxes were paid with notes and one quarter were paid with the coins the this tax that was imposed by the legislature when they issue the notes was called a Redemption tax it was called a Redemption tax ok that's written right into the law they knew what they were doing the purpose of the tax is to redeem the notes it gives a demand for the notes and then the notes are brought back and burned that prevents them from causing inflation the purpose of the tax was to get most of the notes out so there wouldn't be any inflation Adam Smith 1776 wrote about this you know there's a strange thing going on in the colonies they're issuing paper money but it retains its value as long as they don't issue too much of it okay so you use the taxes to make sure they don't stay out there and cause inflation another example this one's a little bit different okay.

this is the Yap Islands and economists use this as an example all the time of primitive people using money that is a commodity so they decided to use these stone wheels as money to reduce the transactions costs of barter nobody's laughing here's how tall they are here's their coin okay when you want to go to the market to buy a fat pig you have to get 10 strong guys you put a log through here you pick it up and you carry it to the market and you buy a pig that reduce the transactions costs it turns out on the Yap Islands.
they don't have any stones like this they have to get their dugout canoes they paddle across open ocean 200 miles to go get the stone they carve it they put it on the canoe and they try to paddle back and a lot of the stones the canoe flips over.
 and they end up on the bottom of the ocean but when the Yap Islanders consider their wealth of stones they include all the ones that fell on the bottom because it doesn't matter they know they still have them I mean they don't have them on the island but they know where they are more or less they can't get them but it doesn't matter.

 okay so anyway economist wrote this up as this is primitive money okay they don't tell you the second part of the story.


so the Germans are trying to colonize the Yap Islands the Germans want some roads built so they go to the island you know and they say hey we need the road built we'll we'll pay you currency to build the road.
and I don't know what the German currency then was but let's say it's the mark you know well pay you five marks an hour to build the road the Yap Islanders look at them like they're crazy say you want me to work for pieces of paper and of course the Germans look at them like they're crazy you guys are so lazy you won't even work for money.
 okay so they wouldn't work for the German currency so some bright colonial governor said I know what we'll do go through with a can of black paint and paint a big axon about half of the stones so that's what they did so they go through they paint a black X and the Islanders say what's going on say well we tax those.

okay those are ours now how can we get them back say well you build a road so they reverse the sequence but the tax the tax turned these into money they were not money before they were what we call primitive valuables all tribal society as primitive valuables they're usually things that are completely useless and that's on purpose and then they attach great ceremonial value to them okay so this is a typical tribal thing that Europeans could not conceive of so they thought they must be money but they were turned into money only by attacks that the colonial government put on them okay again you don't have to believe me here is Beardsley rummel I'm not gonna read the whole quote bearsy trauma was an extremely important person he was the chairman of the New York Fed they used the New York Fed used to be called chairman not president okay that was the indicate how he was more important than the chairman of the Fed okay still is but we pretend like it's Janet Yellen okay so anyway he writes an article at the end of the war and the title the article is taxes for revenue is obsolete we do not need tax for revenue we need them for other purposes we need them to fight inflation we need them to change people's behavior so we tax cigarettes and so on we don't need them for revenue purposes he says that is what the war taught us and the people okay how did it teach us that we were running budget deficits of 25 percent of GDP with no negative impacts on the economy at all okay here's an exchange between the head of the Fed so this one is the chairman of the Fed and right Pakman who was an important representative the during the war the Fed bought lots of government bonds to keep the interest rate near zero okay and so here's Pavan how did the government sorry how did you the Fed get 


 30:01 as they don't issue too much of it okay 30:04 so you use the taxes to make sure they 30:06 don't stay out there and cause inflation 30:09 another example this one's a little bit 

30:13 different okay 30:15 this is the Yap Islands and economists 30:18 use this as an example all the time of 30:20 primitive people using money that is a 30:24 commodity so they decided to use these 30:28 stone wheels as money to reduce the 30:31 transactions costs of barter nobody's 30:35 laughing here's how tall they are here's 30:40 their coin okay when you want to go to 30:43 the market to buy a fat pig you have to 30:47 get 10 strong guys you put a log through 30:51 here you pick it up and you carry it to 30:54 the market and you buy a pig that reduce 30:57 the transactions costs it turns out on 31:02 the Yap Islands they don't have any 31:04 stones like this they have to get their 31:08 dugout canoes they paddle across open 31:10 ocean 200 miles to go get the stone they 31:14 carve it they put it on the canoe and 31:16 they try to paddle back and a lot of the 31:19 stones the canoe flips over and they end 31:22 up on the bottom of the ocean but when 31:25 the Yap Islanders consider their wealth 31:30 of stones they include all the ones that 31:31 fell on the bottom because it doesn't 31:33 matter they know they still have them I 31:35 mean they don't have them on the island 31:38 but they know where they are more or 31:40 less they can't get them but it doesn't 31:43 matter okay so anyway economist wrote 31:47 this up as this is primitive money okay 31:52 they don't tell you the second part of 31:54 the story so the Germans are trying to 31:57 colonize the Yap Islands the Germans 32:00 want some roads built so they go to the 32:03 island you know and they say hey we need 32:05 the road built we'll we'll pay you 32:09 currency to build the road and I don't 32:12 know what the German currency then was 32:14 but let's say it's the mark you know 32:16 well pay you five marks an hour to build 32:18 the road the Yap Islanders look at them 32:21 like they're crazy say you want me to 32:23 work for pieces of paper and of course 32:27 the Germans look at them like they're 32:29 crazy you guys are so lazy you won't 32:31 even work for money okay so they 32:34 wouldn't work for the German currency so 32:37 some bright colonial governor said I 32:40 know what we'll do go through with a can 32:44 of black paint and paint a big axon 32:50 about half of the stones so that's what 32:53 they did so they go through they paint a 32:55 black X and the Islanders say what's 32:58 going on say well we tax those okay 33:02 those are ours now how can we get them 33:05 back say well you build a road so they 33:10 reverse the sequence but the tax the tax 33:13 turned these into money they were not 33:15 money before they were what we call 33:17 primitive valuables all tribal society 33:19 as primitive valuables they're usually 33:21 things that are completely useless and 33:23 that's on purpose and then they attach 33:26 great ceremonial value to them okay so 33:30 this is a typical tribal thing that 33:32 Europeans could not conceive of so they 33:34 thought they must be money but they were 33:36 turned into money only by attacks that 33:39 the colonial government put on them okay 33:44 again you don't have to believe me 33:45 here is Beardsley rummel I'm not gonna 33:47 read the whole quote bearsy trauma was 33:49 an extremely important person he was the 33:51 chairman of the New York Fed they used 33:54 the New York Fed used to be called 33:56 chairman not president okay that was the 33:59 indicate how he was more important than 34:02 the chairman of the Fed okay still is 34:05 but we pretend like it's Janet Yellen 34:08 okay so anyway he writes an article at 34:14 the end of the war and the title the 34:16 article is taxes for revenue is obsolete 34:19 we do not need tax 34:22 for revenue we need them for other 34:23 purposes we need them to fight inflation 34:26 we need them to change people's behavior 34:28 so we tax cigarettes and so on we don't 34:30 need them for revenue purposes he says 34:32 that is what the war taught us and the 34:37 people okay how did it teach us that we 34:41 were running budget deficits of 25 34:43 percent of GDP with no negative impacts 34:46 on the economy at all okay here's an 34:51 exchange between the head of the Fed so 34:55 this one is the chairman of the Fed and 34:56 right Pakman who was an important 35:00 representative the during the war the 35:04 Fed bought lots of government bonds to 35:06 keep the interest rate near zero okay 35:09 and so here's Pavan how did the 35:11 government sorry how did you the Fed get 35:16 the money to buy those two billion of 35:17 government securities 2 billion sounds 35:19 like little now but it was a lot back 35:20 then we created it out of what out of 35:26 the right to issue money credit and 35:28 there's nothing behind it except the 35:31 government's credit well we have the 35:32 government bonds that's right that's 35:34 good was credit in other words the only 35:36 thing you have is another government 35:38 debt okay so we've created money that is 35:41 a government debt and all that stands 35:43 behind it is another government debt so 35:45 they go on 35:46 Patman do you believe that people should 35:48 pay their debts generally when they can 35:51 I think it depends a good deal upon the 35:53 individual but of course if there were 35:56 no debt in our money system there 35:58 wouldn't be any money 36:00 whoops sorry I'm proud to show you there 36:03 wouldn't be any money mr. Patman suppose 36:06 everybody paid their debts would we have 36:08 any money to do business on ok and of 36:12 course the answer is no if everybody 36:15 repaid their debt there would be no 36:16 money mr. Eccles says he sees what 36:21 directions I says that's correct in 36:22 other words our system is based entirely 36:25 on debt ok yes it is 36:29 or finally here's Bernanke the 36:35 the Fed lent and spent about 34 trillion 36:41 to save Wall Street 34 trillion dollars 36:46 so he's interviewed on 60 minutes is 36:48 that tax money the Fed is spending you 36:50 notice is virtually identical to what 36:53 was asked at the end of World War two 36:55 it's not tax money we simply use the 36:59 computer to mark up the size of the 37:02 account if they have somebody at the Fed 37:06 who has a finger that is how they do it 37:11 keystrokes it's just keystrokes that's 37:15 how you do it okay I think I'm gonna 37:22 skip over some history of thought here 37:26 implications fiat money is not worthless 37:29 it's valuable due to the state's promise 37:32 to redeem it in payments to the state 37:34 you can find this in the economic 37:37 literature the very best place to start 37:41 is with a Mitchell Ennis who was the 37:44 Queen's ambassador to Washington he was 37:47 an autodidactic he wrote something on 37:49 beekeeping and then he wrote the two 37:51 best articles ever written on money okay 37:54 how we figured it out I have no idea 37:57 Keynes reviewed it and said we might 37:59 quibble with some of the details but the 38:02 argument is sound okay money and dad are 38:06 linked debts are denominated in the 38:08 state money of account my professor 38:10 Minsky used to always say anybody can 38:12 create money the problem is to get it 38:14 accepted creating money is a matter of 38:16 writing I owe you five dollars your 38:18 problem is to get somebody to accept 38:20 that now banks have an easy time you 38:23 have a harder time all monies are 38:26 created as liabilities are the issuers 38:28 and here's the key point that Ennis 38:30 makes all issuers must accept their own 38:34 liabilities back in payment if you 38:36 refuse to accept it you have defaulted 38:39 why was the Bank of England created the 38:43 king defaulted on his tally sticks 38:46 one of the King George's I don't 38:48 remember which number he defaulted on 38:50 his tally sticks so they had to create 38:52 the Bank of England because nobody 38:55 trusted that King anymore okay he 38:58 refused to accept back his own tally 38:59 sticks in payment all money is credit 39:03 money the state money approach might 39:06 appear to be inconsistent with the 39:08 credit money approach but even state 39:11 money is credit money the state's money 39:14 is the government's debt the 39:16 government's IOU and they must accept it 39:19 back in payment Redemption then means 39:21 delivering an IOU in payment to its 39:24 issuer all right it doesn't matter 39:30 whether the IOU is printed on a gold 39:33 coin or printed on paper it's an IOU 39:38 okay it doesn't need to have any 39:42 intrinsic value or not but even if it 39:45 does it is still an IOU 39:50 so sovereignty is a set of institutions 39:53 there are many other aspects of 39:55 sovereignty but the important one for 39:57 money is that the sovereign has the 40:00 power to impose fees fines taxes and to 40:03 a name what it will accept in payment of 40:06 those obligations to the state when the 40:09 fees fines and taxes are paid the 40:10 currency is redeemed its accepted back 40:13 by the sovereign issuer some sovereigns 40:17 also agree to redeem their io u--'s for 40:21 gold when you're on a gold standard but 40:24 that's not necessary now we know it's 40:26 not necessary because we gave it up a 40:29 long time ago skip through that so in 40:37 almost all religions debt is a sin but 40:40 being a creditor is an equal sin okay so 40:45 your sinful on either side of the 40:47 equation the debts are paid by 40:51 delivering back an IOU to the issuer's 40:54 that is what we call Redemption these 40:57 terms of course came from religion 40:59 because 41:00 money came out of the temples so it's 41:03 not a coincidence that many of the terms 41:05 we use when we talk about money are 41:09 terms we use when we talk about religion 41:12 I'm gonna say you can read this slide on 41:14 your own which comes first creation or 41:18 redemption you've got to create first 41:23 before you can redeem if you aren't in 41:26 debt you can't redeem yourself 41:30 Redemption can't come first debt has to 41:34 come first government has to spend first 41:39 which is getting him the government 41:42 itself in debt before the government can 41:44 redeem itself collect back in taxes the 41:48 colonial governments had to spend the 41:49 notes before they can collect them they 41:52 have to be in sinful debt before they 41:54 can be redeemed this is true for 41:56 everybody 41:56 government bank household you can't 42:00 redeem your debts until you have created 42:03 the debts so how does the government 42:06 really spend okay things are more 42:11 complicated than they used to be our 42:14 government does not spend paper money 42:19 into existence the paper money is issued 42:23 only because you go to an ATM machine 42:26 and make withdrawals our government 42:30 doesn't spend the way the government's 42:31 always had spent in the past why because 42:36 there are two things in between you and 42:42 the government one is your bank and the 42:46 other is the government's bank which we 42:48 call the central bank okay so you are 42:52 what do you say three degrees of 42:55 separation away from the government the 42:59 government imposes a tax on you but you 43:02 pay taxes by writing a check or 43:05 electronic deduction from your bank 43:07 account 43:09 the central bank D Ducks your bank's 43:16 reserves and credits the Treasury's 43:20 account at the central bank when the 43:23 Treasury wants to spend it cuts a check 43:26 when you deposit it in your bank your 43:29 bank credits your account sends the 43:31 cheque on to the Fed the Fed credits 43:34 your bank's reserves and then debits the 43:38 Treasury's account at the central bank 43:41 okay so it's more complicated and it's 43:45 more complicated than that because we 43:47 have a whole bunch of what are called 43:49 tax and loan accounts and special 43:50 depositories and so on and so on and so 43:52 on that complicates the procedures and 43:56 makes it a lot harder to see how things 43:58 actually work but the logic remains it's 44:02 still the same you can't deduct reserves 44:04 from banks unless they have them they 44:07 can only get them from the government so 44:10 the government either has to spend or 44:13 lend the reserves before the banks can 44:16 have their reserves debited when you 44:18 make your tax payments all the logic 44:21 remains one of the first things that mmt 44:23 did was to get into the details of how 44:27 everything operates today which I can 44:29 tell you no economist knew none before 44:33 we looked into it now of course there 44:36 were people at the Treasury and the Fed 44:37 who knew because they had to do it okay 44:40 but academic economists had no idea how 44:43 the government really spent some of our 44:45 earliest articles 20 years ago were how 44:47 does the government really spend so we 44:50 have gone through all the details and 44:51 we've done it for other countries too 44:53 and it's the same okay I mean minor 44:55 detail changes but otherwise it's the 44:58 same policy implications government 45:01 cannot go bankrupt in its own currency 45:05 it can issue more through keystrokes it 45:08 can make all payments on government 45:10 bonds through keystrokes okay you don't 45:15 take that money away from taxpayers as 45:17 Bernanke explained how did they spend 45:20 and Len 45:22 thirty four trillion dollars to save

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